- We maintain our 2026 year-end STI target of 5250, premised on our base case (50%): Brent peaking at US$125/bbl, before easing to US$80/bbl by year-end, as oil flows gradually resume through the Strait of Hormuz by June. Outperforming sectors are tech, financials, aviation, property/REITs and consumer discretionary.
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
- Worst case (20%), Brent >US$125/bbl, spikes to US$150-200/bbl, STI falls to 4450, 4300.
3 key events in May.
- These events are also likely to influence market tone:
- Fed transition on 15 May should proceed smoothly, though into a more divided and hawkish policy backdrop that favours index heavyweight banks;
- Trump-Xi meeting on 14-15 May is likely to focus on stabilising tensions, with Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) as the clearest direct beneficiary of a constructive outcome; and
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
Adopt a ‘resilience’ barbell strategy.
- Read more at SGinvestors.io.
















