Additional 100% US tariffs on China exports from the current high base have limited incremental impacts on Malaysian glovemakers’ earnings.
Oversupply and sub-optimal utilisation rates are likely to continue to weigh on earnings recovery prospects.
The US raised China’s tariffs by 100%, but limited impact to Malaysian glovemakers’ earnings.
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Nevertheless, we assess that China’s medical gloves export volume within the US market in 2Q25-3Q25 has dropped significantly since earlier reciprocal tariffs. This is mainly because ASPs are no longer competitive vs competitors even at the previous 80% tariff rate.
Finding grounds from China’s red ocean strategy, industry oversupply remains challenging.
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Furthermore, some China players are exploring capacity expansion in other ASEAN countries such as Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand, adding pressure to the current oversupply dynamics.
Anticipating modest earnings recovery in 2H25-2026, lifted by US customers’ restocking cycle.
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Above is an excerpt from a report by UOB Kay Hian Research. Clients of UOB Kay Hian may be the first to access the full PDF report @ https://www.utrade.com.sg/.
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