- Thai Beverage (SGX:Y92)'s 1Q24 revenue and EBITDA were at 26%/27% of our FY24e forecasts. 1Q24 EBITDA rose 1.9% y-o-y to Bt13.8bn. Results were within expectations. No analyst briefing and limited financials were provided in the 1Q24 update.
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- We maintain our FY24e forecasts. Our BUY recommendation and target price for Thai Beverage is unchanged.
- We remain positive on the recovery of volumes this year as economic conditions improve via government stimulus and a rebound in exports.
The Positive
Margin improvement.
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- Spirits margins were stable as the product mix of higher-margin brown spirits rose.
The Negative
Volumes still falling for beer.
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