- CapitaLand China Trust's share price has corrected close to 18% since our downgrade, in part due to weaker sentiment for the entire S-REITs sector after the Iran war stoked inflation concerns and pushed back rate cut expectations.
Upgrade to HOLD on total returns potential of 8%
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
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Expectation of 7.6% yield should support share price
- Street’s expectations of 7.6% FY26 distribution yield should provide downside support to CapitaLand China Trust's share price at current levels.
- Our implied FY26 distribution yield of 6.6% is below Bloomberg consensus estimates of 7.6%, but we prefer to remain cautious pending the acquisition of a replacement asset for CapitaMall Yuhuating and a clearer bottoming out of performance.
Cautious consumer sentiment and ample new supply may continue to weigh on retail rents until 2027, while logistics rents may rebound around 2028 on limited new supply
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