UOB - RHB Research 2026-02-25: Earnings To Rebound But Not Enough To Lift Yields

UOB: Earnings To Rebound But Not Enough To Lift Yields

Published:
UOB (SGX:U11) | SGinvestors.io
  • UOB (SGX:U11) largely retained its 2026 outlook (save for some tweaks to fee income), suggesting a modest operating backdrop ahead.
  • While credit cost should normalise and this may lead to a decent rebound in earnings, there would still be a ~100bps dividend yield gap to the sector-leading yield of 5.5% by its peer. However, we believe valuation remains decent and fairly reflects asset quality risks and the lower provision coverage level vs the sector.

2025 results met estimates.

  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -

Results highlights.

  • The sequential PATMI jump was on the back of credit cost normalising to 20bps in 4Q25 vs 3Q25: 134bps. Otherwise, NII was up 4% q-o-q on a positive +2bps rebound in NIM as earlier efforts to reprice lower deposit rates filtered through, coupled with higher benchmark rates in Hong Kong but this was offset by lower non-II (-17% q-o-q) due to seasonality.
  • Y-o-y, operating income fell 5% due to a drop in both NII (-4% y-o-y on lower NIM) and other non-II. Loans and deposit growth stood at +4% and +5% but CASA momentum was notably strong at +13% y-o-y.
  • Balance sheet remains liquid with the LDR at 81.7% (3Q25: 82.5%; 4Q24: 82.7%) while the CASA ratio ticked higher to 58.4% (3Q25: 57%; 4Q24: 54.6%). Non-performing assets (NPA) fell 6% q-o-q (+4% y-o-y) due to lower new NPAs and higher recoveries/writeoffs from the real estate space. NPA coverage was 90%, up from 84% in 2024 thanks to the earlier pre-emptive GP.

Briefing highlights.

  • Read more at SGinvestors.io.



Above is an excerpt from a report by RHB Securities Research.
Clients of RHB may be the first to access the full PDF report @ https://www.rhbtradesmart.com/.



Singapore Research RHB Securities Research | https://www.rhbgroup.com/ 2026-02-25



Previous report by RHB:
2025-11-07 UOB - Loans Provision Coverage Build Up Dampens Earnings.

Price targets by 4 other brokers at UOB Target Prices.

Listing of research reports at UOB Analyst Reports.

Relevant links:
UOB Share Price History,
UOB Announcements,
UOB Dividend Payout Dates & Corporate Actions,
UOB News






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