- Bumitama Agri's share price corrected 13.1% on 4 Dec 2025 on no apparent news flow. Bumitama Agri tends to trade in tandem with CPO prices given its focus on pure upstream activities, and while benchmark CPO prices did moderate on that same day, the decline was neither sufficiently significant nor prolonged to warrant such a sharp share price movement, in our view.
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
CPO prices: mild softening bias in 2026E.
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
- Meanwhile, supply conditions have broadly improved, with Indonesia’s production outlook having been revised higher through 2H25.
- Recent rainy weather – which have impacted delivery and thus delayed revenue recognition for Bumitama Agri in 3Q25 – do not appear to have meaningfully disrupted supply, though there remains a risk of localised volatility due to inclement weather going forward.
Maintain fair value estimate of S$1.45; reiterate HOLD.
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