SGX Market Updates

The Straits Times Index (STI) Maintains 2.4% YTD Total Return as GDP Growth Slows


PUBLISHED ON |

17 April 2023

  • The STI generated a 2.4% total return over the first 15 weeks of 2023, with 20 gainers, 1 stock unchanged and 9 decliners. The global macro background of persistent inflation and decelerating growth, in conjunction with ongoing geopolitical tensions saw manufacturing and wholesale trade weigh 1Q23 Adv GDP growth to +0.1% y-o-y.

  • The 5 strongest performers of the STI in the year-to-date included Sembcorp Industries, Keppel Corporation, Genting Singapore, Keppel DC REIT and Mapletree Logistics Trust, with the five stocks averaging 22% total returns, while the decliners were led by City Developments, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Thai Beverage, SingTel and Hongkong Land, which averaged a 6% decline in total returns.

  • Sembcorp Industries' net profit in 2022 (before exceptional items) was S$883 million, up 87% from S$472 million in 2021. The group maintains renewable energy is expected to transform the global power mix through 2027 and become the largest source of electricity. On 30 March, the group completed the acquisition of 892MW of operational wind and solar assets in China, with the Group's renewables portfolio of solar, wind and energy storage in operation and under development globally, at 10.3GW.

  • The two STI tracking ETFs maintain combined AUM of S$2.2 billion, with year-to-date net primary market redemptions of S$59 million and secondary market turnover of S$217 million as of 14 April. In March, the two STI ETFs also recorded a 26-month high in combined net purchases on secondary market.




After generating an 8.4% total return in 2022, the STI has produced a 2.4% total return year-to-date as of April 14, 2023.

The two STI tracking ETFs maintain combined AUM of S$2.2 billion. Together the two ETFs has booked net primary market redemptions of S$59 million and secondary market turnover of S$217 million in the 2023 year-to-date as of April 14. In March, the two STI ETFs also recorded a 26-month high in combined net purchases on secondary market, as the STI retested November lows, while seeing a 220 point plus trading range.

As detailed in the 1Q23 Advanced GDP report, Singapore's GDP growth is projected to be sub-trend this year, with the drag on global investment and manufacturing from tighter global financial conditions expected to intensify in the quarters ahead. This parallels the global economy which is also expected to be sub-trend in 2023. As expected manufacturing and wholesale trade weight the advanced 1Q23 GDP report, which took observations from January and February into account. Some slowdown in global growth and trade was built into expectations last year, accounting for the decline in global technology stocks in 2022 as opposed to their gains in 1Q23.

The 5 strongest performers of the STI over the past 15 weeks included Sembcorp Industries, Keppel Corporation, Genting Singapore, Keppel DC REIT and Mapletree Logistics Trust, with the five stocks averaging 22% total returns. Three of these stocks also booked the largest net institutional inflows proportionate to market capitalisation within the STI over the past 15 weeks. These were Genting Singapore, Sembcorp Industries and Keppel DC REIT.

Following a 73% total return on S$220 million of net institutional inflow in 2022, Sembcorp Industries has generated a 27% total return on S$90 million of net institutional inflow. Including the discontinued operation, Sembcorp Industries FY22 (ended 31 Dec) net profit before exceptional items in was S$883 million compared to S$472 million in FY21. Including the discontinued operation and exceptional items, the Group recorded a net profit of S$848 million in FY22, 204% higher than S$279 million in FY21. In its FY22 annual report, Sembcorp Industries maintains that renewable energy is expected to transform the global power mix through 2027 and become the largest source of electricity. On 30 March, Sembcorp Industries completed the acquisition of 892MW of operational wind and solar assets in China, with the Group's renewables portfolio of solar, wind and energy storage in operation and under development globally at 10.3GW.

Despite the flat return over the past 15 weeks, the STI's newest addition, Emperador Inc, has been among the 10 best performing current STI constituents since it debuted on SGX on 14 July 2022. Emperador Inc operates an integrated global business of manufacturing, bottling and distributing distilled spirits and other alcoholic beverages from the Philippines, United Kingdom, Spain and Mexico through its subsidiaries. The company announced on 12 April that despite posting a relatively flat net profit last year, the company still managed to show profitability amid disruptions in global logistics and high inflation rates.

Meanwhile the STI decliners over the past 15 weeks were led by City Developments, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Thai Beverage, SingTel and Hongkong Land, which averaged a 6% decline in total returns.


The 30 STI stocks, sort by highest total returns in the 2023 year-to-date are tabled below.

STI Constituent Stocks SGX Code Average Daily Turnover
S$m
Market Cap
S$m
Net Institutional Flow
S$m
Net Institutional Flow / Market Cap 2023 YTD Total Return
%
Sector
Sembcorp U96 15.3 7,661 90.0 1.17% 26.9 Utilities
Keppel Corp BN4 30.0 10,397 -211.2 -2.03% 24.7 Industrials
Genting Singapore G13 33.6 14,124 191.7 1.36% 22.5 Consumer Cyclicals
Keppel DC REIT AJBU 11.5 3,578 27.4 0.77% 20.5 REITs
Mapletree Logistics Trust M44U 26.4 8,739 6.6 0.08% 13.9 REITs
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust BUOU 13.2 4,908 -1.6 -0.03% 13.8 REITs
Jardine Cycle & Carriage C07 15.2 12,825 7.4 0.06% 13.5 Consumer Cyclicals
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 18.4 9,536 -14.5 -0.15% 10.5 REITs
Mapletree Industrial Trust ME8U 11.0 6,547 -1.8 -0.03% 9.2 REITs
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT A17U 30.7 12,107 -29.6 -0.24% 8.1 REITs
ST Engineering S63 16.3 11,287 22.2 0.20% 8.1 Industrials
SGX S68 18.0 10,125 4.6 0.05% 6.9 Financial Services
DFI Retail D01 2.4 5,571 18.5 0.33% 6.2 Consumer Non-Cyclicals
OCBC O39 67.7 57,696 -102.2 -0.18% 5.4 Financial Services
UOL Group U14 6.6 5,972 8.3 0.14% 5.2 Real Estate (excl. REITs)
SIA C6L 24.4 16,962 20.5 0.12% 3.3 Industrials
Venture Corp V03 12.9 5,078 1.1 0.02% 2.3 Technology (Hardware/ Software)
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust C38U 41.2 13,497 -115.2 -0.85% 2.1 REITs
SATS S58 16.7 4,075 -1.5 -0.04% 2.0 Industrials
CapitaLand Investment 9CI 25.2 19,309 -6.2 -0.03% 1.9 Financial Services
Emperador EMI 0.8 8,026 0.6 0.01% 0.0 Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Jardine Matheson J36 17.5 18,963 -25.3 -0.13% -0.1 Industrials
DBS D05 143.2 83,996 -1,008.1 -1.20% -1.3 Financial Services
UOB U11 96.3 50,476 -436.2 -0.86% -1.9 Financial Services
Wilmar F34 26.4 25,533 -32.0 -0.13% -1.9 Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Hongkong Land H78 11.1 13,460 -14.3 -0.11% -2.3 Real Estate (excl. REITs)
SingTel Z74 54.2 41,261 -284.5 -0.69% -2.7 Telecommunications
Thai Beverage Y92 15.9 16,205 34.4 0.21% -3.4 Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Yangzijiang BS6 39.2 4,859 -72.2 -1.49% -9.6 Industrials
City Developments C09 13.8 6,648 -108.9 -1.64% -10.9 Real Estate (excl. REITs)

Source: SGX, Refinitiv (Data as of 14 April 2023)







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