- Notwithstanding pockets of weakness, Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX:M44U)'s portfolio valuation was broadly stable. We lower our estimates and DDM-based Mapletree Logistics Trust target price by 24% and maintain HOLD rating.
Focus on capital recycling
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
- High interest costs, weak regional currencies and continued weakness in China operations was offset by otherwise stable operations and divestment gains.
- - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
Headwinds from China, FX and rates
- Mapletree Logistics Trust's 4QFY24 gross revenue and NPI was up 1.2% and 0.6% y-o-y. q-o-q, but down 1.7% and 2.6%, respectively. Growth on the year was driven by acquisitions and improved performance partly offset by China, divestments and weaker FX. On a constant currency basis, revenue and NPI would have grown 3.6% and 3%, respectively.
- Q-o-q weakness was driven by lack of income from divested properties, weaker performance in China and Singapore and currency weakness.
- Negative impact from higher borrowing cost and enlarged number of units was offset by distribution of divestment gains, resulting in modest decline of 2.5% y-o-y for 4QFY24 DPU. Full-year trends were similar and divestment gains cushioned the DPU decline significantly.
- Mapletree Logistics Trust's portfolio occupancy was maintained at 96%, though occupancy in China remained at 93%. Portfolio rent reversion was +2.9%. China registered reversion of -10% and is likely to remain negative for this fiscal as well. However, overall portfolio reversion will continue to be positive.
Focus on capital recycling
- Read more at SGinvestors.io.
Above is the excerpt from report by Maybank Research.
Clients of Maybank Securities may be the first to access the full report in PDF @ https://www.maybanktrade.com.sg/.
Krishna Guha Maybank Research | https://www.maybank-ke.com.sg/ 2024-04-30
Read also Maybank's most recent report:
2024-07-26 Mapletree Logistics Trust - Lower Distribution; BUY As FX Headwinds May Recede.
Price targets by 2 other brokers at Mapletree Logistics Trust Target Prices.
Listing of research reports at Mapletree Logistics Trust Analyst Reports.
Relevant links:
Mapletree Logistics Trust Share Price History,
Mapletree Logistics Trust Announcements,
Mapletree Logistics Trust Dividends & Corporate Actions,
Mapletree Logistics Trust News Articles