Singapore Banks - DBS Research 2023-12-04: Banking On A Soft Landing

Singapore Banks - Banking On A Soft Landing

Published:
Singapore Banks DBS OCBC UOB | SGinvestors.ioOCBC (SGX:O39) UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD (SGX:U11) DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD (SGX:D05)
  • We continue to have HOLD calls on both OCBC (SGX:O39) and UOB (SGX:U11) as we anticipate limited room for rerating with earnings growth slowing to ~1%.
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -

Net Interest Income

Markets continue to price in higher-for-longer interest rates.

  • Having delivered 525bps of rate hikes this cycle (taking the rate to 5.50%), DBS Group Research believes that the Fed has the capacity to adopt a prolonged hold stance. As such, we have pencilled in four rate cuts in 2H24F. While there is a slight upside risk indicated by the Fed’s dotplot projecting a 5.75%, DBS Group Research believes the hurdle for another hike might be high.
  • Any further rate increases would require incoming data to surpass expectations and provide positive surprises.

NIMs have likely peaked, expecting continued pressure on NIMs.

  • Read more at SGinvestors.io.




Above is the excerpt from report by DBS Group Research.
Clients of DBS may access the full report in PDF @ https://www.dbs.com/insightsdirect/.




Rui Wen LIM DBS Group Research | https://www.dbs.com/insightsdirect/ 2023-12-04



More reports on banking & finance sector:
Analyst Reports on Singapore Banking & Finance Sector

Read also:
Analyst Reports on DBS Group
Analyst Reports on OCBC Bank
Analyst Reports on United Overseas Bank (UOB)





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