- Venture Corp's earnings are expected to contract to 7-year lows in FY24e.
- 9M24 results were below expectations. Revenue and PATMI were 69%/68%, respectively, of our FY24e forecasts. 3Q24 net profit declined 3.8% y-o-y to S$60.6mil as revenue declined 2% y-o-y.
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- We lower our FY24e revenue and PATMI forecast for Venture Corp by 5% and 6%, respectively. Our NEUTRAL recommendation is unchanged.
The Positive
Ample cash flow.
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- The annual FCF of around S$400mil is more than sufficient to cover the current Venture Corp's dividends of S$218mil. It does not even impact the current S$1.19bn cash pile.
- There is ample room for Venture Corp to return more cash to shareholders.
The Negative
Lack of momentum.
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