OCBC Bank - Maybank Research 2023-11-10: Executing Amidst Volatility ~ Growth Slowing, Dividends Resilient.

OCBC Bank - Executing Amidst Volatility ~ Growth Slowing, Dividends Resilient.

Published:
OCBC (SGX:O39) | SGinvestors.ioOCBC (SGX:O39)
  • OCBC (SGX:O39)'s 9M23 earnings were ahead of MIBG/Street expectations. Largely, this is being driven by NIMs, which are now peaking.
  • While NIMs should stay elevated in a higher-for-longer interest rate backdrop, interest income growth is likely to see resistance as loan growth stalls.
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
  • Nevertheless, we expect OCBC's dividend yields upwards of 6% in 2023-25E supported by strong capital. Maintain HOLD.

Peaking NIMs.

  • All of the net interest income (NII) expansion q-o-q was delivered by higher net interest margins (NIM). However, sequential momentum is slowing from a peak of 2.31% in 4Q22 to 2.27% now.
  • OCBC's management claims Sep exit NIM is at 2.23% pointing to further slowdown. With most of the loan book already re-priced and credit demand low (loans flat q-o-q), overall margin trajectory could trend downwards going forward.
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -

NoII prospects remain unclear

  • 3Q23 non-interest income remained volatile with weaker insurance and trading.
  • Fees were a bright spot, rising +7% q-o-q from better wealth managemet. However, whether this signals a sustained recovery is too soon to say.

Asset quality well supported.

  • Read more at SGinvestors.io.



Above is an excerpt from a report by Maybank Research.
Clients of Maybank Securities may be the first to access the full PDF report @ https://www.maybanktrade.com.sg/.



Thilan Wickramasinghe Maybank Research | https://www.maybank-ke.com.sg/ 2023-11-10



Read also Maybank's most recent report:
2025-11-07 OCBC Bank - Upgrade To BUY For Synergies & More Capital Returns.

Previous report by Maybank:
2025-08-03 OCBC Bank - Near-term Uncertainty; Maintain HOLD..

Price targets by 4 other brokers at OCBC Target Prices.

Listing of research reports at OCBC Analyst Reports.

Relevant links:
OCBC Share Price History,
OCBC Announcements,
OCBC Dividend Payout Dates & Corporate Actions,
OCBC News






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