- StarHub's results were below expectations. 1Q25 revenue and EBITDA were 23% and 22%, respectively, of our FY25e forecast.
- Mobile ARPU continues to suffer from intense competition. On a q-o-q basis, StarHub's ARPU slipped 4.5%. Mobile price competition is across categories, including roaming and MVNO. The economics of the business will only worsen with the additional capacity and S$282mil payment for the 700MHz spectrum due 1 July.
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The Positive
Rising price plans in broadband.
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The Negative
Mobile ARPU continues to deteriorate.
- Mobile revenue is on its 5th consecutive quarter of decline in 1Q25. Dragging down revenue was the 8.7% y-o-y fall in ARPU. Value price plans are collapsing, led by the MVNOs. Free roaming data plans are also denting this highly lucrative segment.
- StarHub premium customers are less impacted because such customers have bundled products with multiple plans and operate as a household.
Outlook
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