- Mapletree Logistics Trust plans to expand in growth markets, such as India, Malaysia and Vietnam, but the pace of acquisitions is curtailed by its elevated aggregate leverage of 39.6%. The outlook for China remains challenging and the weakness is expected to persist over the next few quarters. Downgrade to HOLD.
Hampered by strong S$.
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- Gross revenue and NPI decreased by 0.3% and 0.9% y-o-y in 1QFY25 as contributions from overseas logistics properties were curtailed by a strong S$ (JPY: -10% y-o-y and KRW: -4% y-o-y).
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Persistent weakness from China.
- Mapletree Logistics Trust achieved positive rental reversion of 2.6% in 1QFY25 (Singapore: 7.8%, Hong Kong: 2.1% and China: -11.3%). Excluding China, which accounted for half of lease expiry in 1QFY25, positive rental reversion would be 4.6%.
- Portfolio occupancy eased marginally by 0.3ppt q-o-q to 95.7% as of Jun 24. Occupancies for Australia, India, Japan and Vietnam were maintained at above 98%. Temporary vacancies in Singapore and Vietnam are expected to be backfilled in 2QFY25.
Resilient balance sheet.
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