- We think that SATS should see q-o-q revenue growth of ~7% in 3QFY24F (Oct to Dec 2023) to ~S$1.37bn, driven by a recovery in cargo demand and higher International visitor arrivals. As such, we expect SATS to report a ~S$28m in PATMI (+70% q-o-q) in 3QFY24F.
Recovery of global cargo volumes accelerated in Nov 23
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- We believe a similar growth rate is likely for Dec 23 given the gifting season, which should support revenue growth for SATS’s cargo business that made up ~49% of SATS’s revenue as of 1H24.
Global passenger demand almost back to pre-COVID levels
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- As such, SATS’s ground handling and aviation food sub-segments should see revenue growth in 3Q23F on stronger seasonal travel. The latter is also likely to translate to higher q-o-q contributions from its associates and joint ventures in China, Japan, and Malaysia.
Operating leverage driven by expected stable cost profile
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