- DBS (SGX:D05) reported 9M23 core-earnings ahead of expectations. Net interest income continues to be robust from supportive net interest margins.
Dividends growth sustainable
- While margins seem to have peaked, higher for longer rates should continue to support net interest income, while green-shoots in wealth management could boost non-interest income.
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Stable net interest income
- DBS's 3Q23 net interest income (NII) expanded 16% y-o-y – the slowest pace since 2Q22. This was mostly supported by higher net interest margins (NIMs) (+29bps y-o-y). The pace of growth is decelerating (+3bps 3Q23, +4bps 2Q23, +7bps 1Q23) as interest rate hikes slow.
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- We expect these trends to persist into 2024E from a slower China and higher for longer interest rates.
- We lower 2023-25E loans by 3-6%. Overall 2024E net interest income should be at similar levels to 2023E.
Improving non-interest income
- Read more at SGinvestors.io.