UOB’s 9M24 core-earnings were ahead of MIBG and Street's expectation.
Executing on growth
It is successfully integrating the Citi acquisition, while showing good execution in leveraging its ASEAN footprint. Investments in technology & higher-for-longer interest rates could drive UOB's EPS upgrades going forward.
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NoII and NII tailwinds could lead to upside risks
UOB's 3Q24 trading was boosted by the bank’s own trading (2x y-o-y). More importantly, customer flow related trading increased +36% y-o-y.
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Ongoing spending on digital platforms should help convert more deposits to investments in the next 12-14 months, according to UOB's anagement. We raise 2024-26E NoII forecasts for UOB by 6-17%.
Similarly, NII could benefit from a slower trajectory of rate cuts under a new Trump Administration. NIMs were flat q-o-q pointing to hedging activities and UOB's management is guiding for stronger loan growth in 2025E driven by digital economy, trade and green lending. These could lead to upgrade risks in NII, in our view.
Some integration hiccups, but not structural
Read more at SGinvestors.io.
Above is an excerpt from a report by Maybank Research. Clients of Maybank Securities may be the first to access the full PDF report @ https://www.maybanktrade.com.sg/.
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