- Thai Beverage (SGX:Y92)'s 3QFY24 results were within expectations. 9MFY24 revenue and EBITDA were at 73%/83% of our FY24e forecasts. 3QFY24 EBITDA declined 3.2% y-o-y to Bt11.7bn due to a drop in spirits revenue and profits. We believe weaker property earnings from associates and higher interest expense to be a drag to net profit.
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- Despite the recovery, beer volumes are 15% below pre-pandemic levels.
The Positive
Beer volumes on a recovery path.
- Beer volume expanded 3.1% in 3Q24, the 2nd consecutive quarter of increase. Despite the recovery, beer volumes are 15% below pre-pandemic (3QFY19: 665.6mil, 3QFY24: 566.7mil). Tourism in Thailand and warmer weather supported demand this quarter.
The Negative
Tough comps for spirits.
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Outlook
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