- Cromwell European REIT's 3Q24/9M24 distributable income was in line with our estimates, forming 26%/77% of our FY24e forecast. 3Q24 NPI rose 7% y-o-y, boosted by the completion of Nervesa21 office redevelopment in Milan, and Novo Mesto ONE Industrial Park I/III logistics development near Bratislava. 3Q24 distributable income was 7.8% lower y-o-y due to asset divestments and higher interest costs.
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- 9M24 portfolio rental reversion was healthy at +4.3%. Cromwell European REIT’s overall passing rents are ~7% lower than market rents, indicating potential for positive rental reversions in the future.
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- The current Cromwell REIT's share price implies an FY24e/25e DPU yield of 8.7%/8.2% and a P/NAV of 0.78x.
The Positives
Stable portfolio occupancy at 93.9% (+30bps q-o-q) with healthy portfolio rental reversion (3Q24: +2.3%; 9M24: 4.3%).
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