Keppel (SGX:BN4)'s 1H24 revenue and adjusted PATMI was below expectations at 42%/37% of our FY24e forecast. Adjusted PATMI declined 25% y-o-y to S$346mil due to losses in the real estate division. Headline earnings was dragged down by legacy assets including fair value losses at Seatrium, Rigco notes receivables and Floatel associate losses.
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We raised our RNAV discount on the property division. The key catalyst for Keppel's share price is the further monetisation of legacy assets Rigco (S$4.2bn vendor notes) and Flotel as part of the additional S$5 to 7bn asset monetisation target by end 2026.
The Positive
Building up the asset management franchise.
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Management said that acquisition and performance fees are around 10% and 12% respectively of management fees.
The Negative
Real estate earnings collapse.
Read more at SGinvestors.io.
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