OCBC - CGS-CIMB Research 2023-11-10: CET1 Upside Gives Hope Of Higher Dividends

OCBC - CET1 Upside Gives Hope Of Higher Dividends

Published:
OCBC (SGX:O39) | SGinvestors.ioOCBC (SGX:O39)
  • OCBC (SGX:O39) recorded 3Q23 net profit of S$1.8bn (+6% q-o-q, +21% y-o-y). This was in line with our and Bloomberg consensus estimates. 9M23 net profit at 75% of our and 76% of Bloomberg consensus full-year forecasts.
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -

Macroeconomic uncertainties may pressure credit cost

  • As macroeconomic uncertainties abound (inflationary pressures, geopolitical uncertainties, interest rate trajectory), OCBC’s management said in its 3Q23 analyst briefing that it will only give its FY24F outlook statement at its 4Q23F earnings update in Feb 2024 when business visibility improves.
  • Management added that it had not detected any systemic risks in its portfolio at this point. Its total non-performing assets (NPAs) were lower q-o-q in 3Q23 from the recovery of two sizeable exposures — a real estate exposure in China (classified NPL in 3Q22) and a project-finance-related loan (turned NPL in 4Q21).
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
  • To this end, we raise our FY23-25F credit cost (calculated based on total allowances) expectations to ~23-25bp (from ~20bp previously; 3Q23: ~25bp) as we bake in the more challenging operating conditions ahead.

1.3x multiplier penalty on operational RWA from MAS removed

  • Read more at SGinvestors.io.




Above is the excerpt from research report by CGS-CIMB.
Clients of CGS-CIMB may access the full report in PDF @ https://www.itradecimb.com.sg/.




Andrea CHOONG CGS-CIMB Research | LIM Siew Khee CGS-CIMB Research | https://www.cgs-cimb.com 2023-11-10



Read also CGS-CIMB's most recent report:
2023-11-16 OCBC - Deepening Its Indonesian Presence.

Price targets by 6 other brokers at OCBC Target Prices.

Listing of research reports at OCBC Analyst Reports.

Relevant links:
OCBC Share Price History,
OCBC Announcements,
OCBC Dividends & Corporate Actions,
OCBC News Articles





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