- UMS’ key customer Applied Material (AMAT) raised its 4Q23 revenue and profit guidance recently. UMS should benefit as AMAT’s inventory levels should be depleted at a faster rate, increasing the chances of a rebound in components orders in FY24E.
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- UMS’ performance in FY23E has been dismal due to fewer orders. Given better prospects, we upgrade UMS to BUY from HOLD, based on a higher 11x FY24E P/E (from 9x), resulting in a higher target price of S$1.44.
2H23 likely to be weak, similar to 1H23
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- We expect 2H23 to remain equally weak as its key customer is unlikely to ramp up orders this year.
Benefiting from the ramp-up of a new customer
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