Singapore Banks - UOB Kay Hian 2023-01-06: Upside From Higher Terminal Interest Rates

Singapore Banks - Upside From Higher Terminal Interest Rates

Published:
Singapore Banks - DBS OCBC UOB | SGinvestors.ioDBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD (SGX:D05) OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP (SGX:O39) UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD (SGX:U11)
  • We expect the Fed Funds Rate to reach a peak of 5.0% by mid-23 and remain at elevated levels in 2H23. We expect DBS and OCBC to increase dividend by 17% and 7% respectively to S$1.68 and S$0.60 in 2023.
  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -

Moderation in pace of rate hike.

  • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has raised the target for Fed Funds Rate by 50bp to 4.25% on 14 Dec 22. This is a step down from a series of four consecutive 75bp hikes.

Too early to talk about rate cuts.

  • - Read this at SGinvestors.io -
  • inflation for housing services is expected to ease in 2023 as rents for new leases have declined, and
  • inflation for core services (non-housing) is expected to take a longer time to moderate due to high labour-content of 55%, elevated job vacancies and growth in wages.
  • The committee expects core PCE inflation to recede gradually to 3.5% in 2023 and 2.5% in 2024.

Labour market is too tight.

  • Read more at SGinvestors.io.



Above is an excerpt from a report by UOB Kay Hian Research.
Clients of UOB Kay Hian may be the first to access the full PDF report @ https://www.utrade.com.sg/.



Jonathan KOH CFA UOB Kay Hian Research | https://research.uobkayhian.com/ 2023-01-06



More reports on banking & finance sector:
Analyst Reports on Singapore Banking & Finance Sector

Read also:
Analyst Reports on DBS Group
Analyst Reports on OCBC Bank
Analyst Reports on United Overseas Bank (UOB)






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